Your brand team brings two extension proposals. One has strong parent brand equity but weak extension fit; the other has the reverse. Success here means how consumers rate the extension or whether they intend to buy it. Is one strength enough to approve a proposal, and should the bar differ for service, goods, prestige and nonprestige parent brands?
Parent brand equity and extension fit are both linked to extension success, fit slightly more strongly.
Data chart
How closely each driver moves with consumers' attitude toward, or intention to buy, the extension, as a correlation from 0 (no link) to 1 (a perfect link), when the other driver is rated low versus high.
Each driver's link to extension success grows when the other is strong, and each keeps a positive link when the other is weak.
Predicted correlations, Table 5, p. 919 and Table 6, p. 921: parent brand equity .245 at low fit and .428 at high fit; extension fit .273 at low equity and .398 at high equity. Low and high mean well below and above the average rating, within the rating scale; other factors stay at their averages. Extension success means consumer attitudes or purchase intentions; the links do not establish causation.
Data chart
How closely extension fit moves with consumers' attitude toward, or intention to buy, the extension, as a correlation from 0 (no link) to 1 (a perfect link), for nonprestige versus prestige parent brands.
Extension fit has a much weaker link to extension success for prestige than for nonprestige parent brands, while retaining a small positive relationship.
Predicted correlations, Table 5, p. 919 and Table 6, p. 921: nonprestige .355 and prestige .105; the latter is a small positive relationship. Extension success means consumer attitudes or purchase intentions, rather than sales or financial outcomes.
Key takeaway
Weigh parent brand equity and extension fit together: fit counts slightly more overall, and brand type shifts the balance.
The evidence covers line and category extensions in 26 countries from 1990-2020 and measures consumer attitudes and purchase intentions, not sales, market share, financial returns or harm to the parent brand. These links do not show what causes extension success.
Source
Peng, C., Bijmolt, T.H.A., Völckner, F., & Zhao, H. (2023). A Meta-Analysis of Brand Extension Success: The Effects of Parent Brand Equity and Extension Fit. Journal of Marketing, 87(6), 906-927. https://doi.org/10.1177/00222429231164654.
https://doi.org/10.1177/00222429231164654
Exact values behind the rounded figures: extension fit .356 versus parent brand equity .294 in the combined analysis; equity .245 at low fit and .428 at high fit, and fit .273 at low equity and .398 at high equity; equity .409 for services versus .317 for goods; fit .355 for nonprestige versus .105 for prestige brands; familiarity .092, quality .295, loyalty .351, and attitude .404; equity .298 without extension product cues versus .411 with them, and fit .388 without these cues versus .269 with them.